Predicting
GIS can also support environmental justice advocates in forecasting environmental impacts and vulnerabilities. By analyzing historical data and current trends, GIS can model potential future scenarios, such as the spread of pollution or the impact of flooding on specific populations. This can enable communities to prepare for environmental effects before they occur.
GeoAI
GeoAI, or Geographic Artificial Intelligence, goes even deeper than traditional prediction algorithms and combines AI technologies such as machine learning and deep learning with geographic data and analysis. This allows for advanced processing and interpretation of spatial data, mapping support, and environmental monitoring. For example, we can use geoAI to trace the outlines of an area or support us when creating maps.
However, Hugo Powell from immap notes that while GeoAI has strong potential for preparatory phases, its deployment in emergency situations can be challenging. A single neural network may not be universally applicable, as building structures vary greatly between different contexts. In such cases, relying on human judgment and intervention might be more effective." (Mapscaping Podcast)
Forecast-based Action (FbA) represents a transformative shift in delivering humanitarian aid by employing risk and threat analysis to predict and prepare for emergencies before they occur.
In regions like Sudan, the lack of current maps complicates the task of identifying high-risk populations affected by armed conflicts, natural disasters, and other threats such as malnutrition and disease. Access to updated geospatial data is important for implementing FbA effectively and for supporting broader climate adaptation initiatives and emergency responses.
Solution: The Missing Maps Project Established in 2014 by organizations including the American Red Cross, British Red Cross, Humanitarian OpenStreetMap Team, and Médecins Sans Frontières, the Missing Maps project aims to provide free mapping services to humanitarian organizations globally. This initiative enhances the availability of up-to-date maps, facilitating better planning and execution of aid.
Methods:
The project involves detailed mapping of risk factors on separate layers:
Conflict Layer: This includes data on recurrent combat and identifies areas most affected by conflicts from 2000 to 2021.
Natural Hazard Layer: Contains information on regions prone to floods and droughts.
Vulnerability Layer: Covers critical data on food security, medical care availability, educational facilities, and locations of internally displaced persons and refugees.
Using open-source mapping tools and Esri’s OpenStreetMap feature layers, these data sets are analyzed through a weighted overlay process. Expert-assigned weights help in creating multi-hazard hotspot maps that pinpoint areas with compounded risks.
Via Esri
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